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04
Hacker News txt 289 c · 328 pts

AI is dramatically accelerating AI research right now

Reading METR's public report on Anthropic, the author argues the lab has already crossed its own "dramatically accelerated progress" threshold: capabilities progress roughly doubled from October 2025 to October 2026, mostly because AI is automating the research. Doubling overall progress implies something like a 10x speedup per researcher, and if that compounds, the naive extrapolation reaches superintelligence within a year.